{"id":25,"date":"2026-09-17T02:03:10","date_gmt":"2026-09-16T23:03:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bets10365.com\/tr\/mac-analizi-okurken-oranlara-nasil-bakilir\/"},"modified":"2026-09-17T02:46:30","modified_gmt":"2026-09-16T23:46:30","slug":"mac-analizi-okurken-oranlara-nasil-bakilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bets10365.com\/tr\/mac-analizi-okurken-oranlara-nasil-bakilir\/","title":{"rendered":"Ma\u00e7 Analizi Okurken Oranlara Nas\u0131l Bak\u0131l\u0131r?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bir ma\u00e7 analizini okurken en s\u0131k yap\u0131lan hata, oran\u0131 “tahmin” sanmakt\u0131r. Oran bir tahmin de\u011fil, piyasan\u0131n o sonuca bi\u00e7ti\u011fi fiyat<\/strong>t\u0131r. Bu yaz\u0131da Haber 365 analizlerini okurken oranlar\u0131 nas\u0131l de\u011ferlendirmeniz gerekti\u011fini, hangi say\u0131lar\u0131n neyi anlatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve hangi noktalarda yan\u0131lg\u0131ya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ad\u0131m ad\u0131m anlat\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n

\"Ma\u00e7
Ma\u00e7 Analizi Okurken Oranlara Nas\u0131l Bak\u0131l\u0131r? \u2013 bu yaz\u0131da ele al\u0131nan ba\u015fl\u0131klar<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n

Oran neyi \u00f6l\u00e7er?<\/h2>

Ondal\u0131k oran, o sonucun ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n tersidir. 2,00 oran yakla\u015f\u0131k %50, 1,50 oran yakla\u015f\u0131k %67, 4,00 oran yakla\u015f\u0131k %25 anlam\u0131na gelir. Form\u00fcl basittir: olas\u0131l\u0131k = 1 \/ oran<\/strong>. Yani 1,40’l\u0131k bir favori “kesin kazan\u0131r” demek de\u011fil, “yakla\u015f\u0131k on ma\u00e7\u0131n yedisinde kazan\u0131r” demektir. \u00dc\u00e7 ma\u00e7ta bir tutmamas\u0131 beklenen bir sonu\u00e7tur.<\/p>\n
Oran<\/th>\u00d6rt\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131k<\/th>Pratikte anlam\u0131<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
1,20<\/td>%83<\/td>Alt\u0131 ma\u00e7ta be\u015f<\/td><\/tr>
1,50<\/td>%67<\/td>\u00dc\u00e7 ma\u00e7ta iki<\/td><\/tr>
2,00<\/td>%50<\/td>\u0130ki ma\u00e7ta bir<\/td><\/tr>
3,50<\/td>%29<\/td>Yedi ma\u00e7ta iki<\/td><\/tr>
6,00<\/td>%17<\/td>Alt\u0131 ma\u00e7ta bir<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table>\n

Marj\u0131 g\u00f6rmeden okuma yapmay\u0131n<\/h2>

Bir ma\u00e7\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7 sonucunun \u00f6rt\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 toplarsan\u0131z sonu\u00e7 %100’\u00fc a\u015far. Aradaki fark marjd\u0131r. \u00d6rne\u011fin 1,80 \/ 3,60 \/ 4,20 oranlar\u0131n\u0131n toplam\u0131 %55,6 + %27,8 + %23,8 = %107,2’dir; yani marj yakla\u015f\u0131k %7. Ger\u00e7ek olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 bulmak i\u00e7in her de\u011feri bu toplama b\u00f6lmek gerekir: ev sahibi %55,6 \/ 1,072 \u2248 %52<\/strong>. Analizlerimizde “piyasa %52 diyor” dedi\u011fimizde bu d\u00fczeltilmi\u015f rakamdan s\u00f6z ediyoruz.<\/p>\n

Analiz metnini oranla birlikte okuma<\/h2>

Bir analizde \u00fc\u00e7 t\u00fcr c\u00fcmle bulunur ve \u00fc\u00e7\u00fc farkl\u0131 a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k ta\u015f\u0131r:<\/p>